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Markets/Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
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Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$31K

Liquidity

$7K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/678752