Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
Closes June 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$216
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
85% / 88%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
87%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province…
2026
32 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?" at 87% YES / 13% NO. In the last 24 hours, $216 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 87%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 87%, NO 13%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/687429
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