Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
FM Estimate
85%Market Price
88%This event has 5 active outcome markets. Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's preside: 88%, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil': 80%, Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presiden: 7%.
Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runo
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?" at 88% YES / 12% NO. In the last 24 hours, $136 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 88%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00pp. The market closes on October 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 88%, NO 12%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/898654