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Markets/Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
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Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Closes August 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

27%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$44K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

21% / 33%

Spread

12.00pp

Expert Signal

27%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on August 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/907990

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Lisa Demuth: 56%, Kendall Qualls: 27%, Kristin Robbins: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~15%.

Topic Intelligence

Cross-Venue Intelligence2 venues
VenueYES %vs Poly
Polymarket27%anchor
PredictIt

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 27%99%
Buy YES@ 27¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 73¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this