Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?
ForecastMind estimates 32% — market may be underpriced by 6pp vs our model · Macro fundamentals: +5.9pp
Market Price
FM Estimate
low confidence · 1 signals
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 37%, Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?: 6%, Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $211K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2015042