Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$59K
Liquidity
$70K
Bid / Ask
14% / 16%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823776
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 69%, Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?: 59%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 34%.
Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
14% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this