ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
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Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

32%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

28% / 31%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515653

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Canadiens vs. Rangers: 54%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5: 54%, Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5: 32%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-29.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

59% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

30%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -29.5pp

59% → 30%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

30% YES (-29.5pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 32%99%
Buy YES@ 32¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 69¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this