ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5
Share on X

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$106K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

22% / 42%

Spread

20.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $106K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 20.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1836261

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 87%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5: 55%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-16.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -17.0pp

52% → 35%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

35% YES (-17.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this