ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
Share on X

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

Closed April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

44% / 45%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

44%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1920580

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: C: 100%, Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5): 73%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5: 71%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-19.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 56¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this