Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$829K
Liquidity
$434K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $829K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890669
This event has 10 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: H: 100%, Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5: 100%, Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5): 98%.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: -20.0pp
37% → 17%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this