ForecastMind
Markets/Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5
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Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

77%YES
23%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$30

Bid / Ask

61% / 93%

Spread

32.00pp

Expert Signal

77%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+69.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

9% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

78%

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: +60.5pp

18% → 78%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

78% YES (+60.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 77%99%
Buy YES@ 77¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 23¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 32.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1769390