Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Market Price
FM Estimate
88%low confidence · 2 signals
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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8 deadline markets. Combined YES = 429% — 329pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
by May 16, 2026
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 86%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40pp. The market closes on May 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2099881