Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813680
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~95%.
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -13.4pp
17% → 4%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
2% YES (-2.1pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+33.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this