LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Closes March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$573K
Liquidity
$393K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Event Distribution
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
76% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 30, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
0%
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -75.5pp
76% → 0%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $573K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659871
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.