Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$48K
Bid / Ask
51% / 56%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886763
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 54%.
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
54% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this