ForecastMind
Markets/Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5
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Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$188K

Bid / Ask

52% / 53%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1893299

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline: 54%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Apr 6, 2026

Current

53% YES (+1.5pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this