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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
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Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
90%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

12% / 18%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1515648

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5: 52%, Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5: 48%, Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 7.5: 24%.

Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
52%
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
48%
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 7.5
24%
Sabres vs. Senators
16%

Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5

10%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-34.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

61% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

26%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -34.5pp

61% → 26%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

26% YES (-34.5pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 90¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this