Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$494K
Liquidity
$2K
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Trough probability
40% YES — lowest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
73%
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +33.0pp
40% → 73%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
100% YES (+27.5pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-14.5)" at 95% YES / 5% NO. In the last 24 hours, $494K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Clippers (-14.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 95%, NO 5%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697211
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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