Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$79K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Warriors (-5.5)" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Spread: Warriors (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1923848
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Spread: Warriors (-5.5): 40%, Spread: Warriors (-2.5): 0%, Spread: Warriors (-4.5): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~60%.
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: -22.3pp
23% → 1%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.7pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this