Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$122K
Liquidity
$75K
Bid / Ask
52% / 53%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $122K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823780
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 2?: 100%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 91%, December 31, 2026: 64%.
Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
52% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this