Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 1?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$13K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 1?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813917
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?: 29%, Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1?: 9%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1?: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~57%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this