Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
3% / 5%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823959
This event has 17 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 85%, December 31, 2026: 66%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 48%.
Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
14% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this