Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$30K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813914
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?: 29%, Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1?: 9%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1?: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~57%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this