Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 11?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 11?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1943725
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 28%, Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 11?: 15%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 12%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~28%.
Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.8pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this