Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?
Closes April 15, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$57K
Liquidity
$45K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $57K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1976989
This event has 32 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?: 100%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 23%, Solana dip to $70 in April?: 16%.
Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
72% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Trough probability
25% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
31%
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: +57.5pp
43% → 100%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
100% YES (+57.5pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this