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Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 29?
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Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 29?

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

4%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$47K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

3% / 6%

Spread

2.80pp

Expert Signal

4%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Solana reach $150 in March?

March

Full event →
$67,000 on March 29?
100%
$68,000 on March 29?
4%
$69,000 on March 29?
2%
$100 in March?
1%
$70,000 on March 29?
1%
$80,000 in March?
0%
$71,000 on March 29?
0%
$110 in March?
0%
$85,000 in March?
0%
$90,000 in March?
0%
$100,000 in March?
0%
$110,000 in March?
0%
$95,000 in March?
0%
$120 in March?
0%
$130 in March?
0%
$150 in March?
0%
$105,000 in March?
0%
above $80,000 on March 31?
0%
$74,000 March 23-29?
0%
$72,000 on March 29?
0%
$150,000 in March?
0%
$76,000 March 23-29?
0%
$73,000 on March 29?
0%
$74,000 on March 29?
0%
between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 30?
0%
$160 in March?
0%
$78,000 March 23-29?
0%
above $80,000 on March 30?
0%
greater than $80,000 on March 30?
0%
$140 in March?
0%
$82,000 March 23-29?
0%

31 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-6.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

11% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Current

4% YES (-2.8pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 4%99%
Buy YES@ 4¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 96¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 29?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $47K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 2.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1770248

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

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Event Cluster

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