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Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 21?
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Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 21?

ForecastMind estimates 6% — market may be underpriced by 3pp vs our model · Macro fundamentals: +2.8pp

Market Price

3%YES

FM Estimate

6%3pp
NO97%
Vol 24h$27K
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask2% / 5%
Spread3.30pp
ClosesApr 22, 2026
Macro fundamentals+2.8pp

low confidence · 1 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.3pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 21?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 3.30pp. The market closes on April 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 21?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2040024