Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$86K
Bid / Ask
48% / 49%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
49%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823800
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 88%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 49%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 22%.
Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
59% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
48% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -6.5pp
55% → 48%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
49% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this