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Markets/Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?
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Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?

Closes April 13, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
39%FIS
+3ppvs market 36%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +3.3pp above current market price; market at 36% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.9% ↑, ETH +1.5% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.9% ↑, ETH +1.5% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓
+3.3pp
Live compute04:03 PM

Polymarket Price

36%YES
65%NO

Volume 24h

$59K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

34% / 39%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

36%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886064

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+14.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: +11.5pp

37% → 49%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

49% YES (+11.5pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 36%99%
Buy YES@ 36¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 65¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this