Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$44K
Bid / Ask
35% / 36%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?" at 36% YES / 64% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 36%, NO 64%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823797
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 67%, Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 36%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 14%.
Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
30% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -16.0pp
46% → 30%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
36% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this