Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886061
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 57%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 24%, Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?: 9%.
Ethereum reach $2,500 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+29.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this