Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$30K
Liquidity
$95K
Bid / Ask
8% / 9%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
9%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823795
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 71%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 20%, Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?: 9%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
6% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -22.0pp
28% → 6%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
9% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this