Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$130K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823792
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 71%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 19%, Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?: 9%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-20.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this