ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?
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Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

88%YES
13%NO

Volume 24h

$2.5M

Liquidity

$62K

Bid / Ask

71% / 72%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

72%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?" at 88% YES / 12% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.5M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 72%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 88%, NO 12%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1771807

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 88%99%
Buy YES@ 88¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.0%
½ Kelly2.0%
Buy NO@ 13¢

-4.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this