Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$11K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/902122
This event has 46 active outcome markets. Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%, Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 41%, Spain: 16%.
Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
37% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +48.0pp
52% → 100%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
100% YES (+48.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this