Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$845
Bid / Ask
45% / 58%
Spread
13.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/902004
This event has 49 active outcome markets. DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%, Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 51%, Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 45%.
Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this