Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
FM Estimate
81%Market Price
84%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplo: 91%, Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplo: 89%, J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomat: 54%.
J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $231K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-19). "Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986506