Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
This event has 16 active outcome markets. Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the f: 41%, less: 39%, Renan Santos finish in third place in the fir: 34%.
Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10pp. The market closes on October 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1365889