Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
FM Estimate
32%Market Price
34%This event has 16 active outcome markets. Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the f: 41%, less: 39%, Renan Santos finish in third place in the fir: 34%.
Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round o
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00pp. The market closes on October 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1365894