Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?
Closes April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$491K
Liquidity
$847K
Bid / Ask
42% / 43%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $491K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1771815
This event has 10 active outcome markets. FC Barcelona: 72%, Arsenal FC: 56%, Torino FC: 49%.
Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
43% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this