ForecastMind
Markets/Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Share on X

Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$122K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Current

3% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 19, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly11.1%
½ Kelly5.6%
Buy NO+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 11.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553852