Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$77K
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
98% / 99%
Spread
1.70pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
March
30 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
98% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
+14.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $77K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683417
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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