Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
66% / 67%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
66%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 66%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1762321
This event has 23 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
69% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Current
63% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this