Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?
Closes March 24, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
74% / 75%
Spread
1.30pp
Expert Signal
74%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?
March
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
78% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
73% YES (-2.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
+1.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628629
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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