Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 23?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
85% / 86%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
86%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
March
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
88% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Current
86% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 23?" at 86% YES / 14% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 86%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 86%, NO 14%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607678
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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