Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29?
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$30K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
March
30 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
4% YES (+0.3pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+6.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683436
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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