Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?
Closed April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.2pp below current market price; market at 11% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.1% ↓, ETH -3.2% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$306K
Liquidity
$0
Bid / Ask
10% / 11%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $306K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891976
This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 12: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 13: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
12% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: -21.0pp
33% → 12%
Apr 12, 2026
Peak probability
41% YES — highest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this