Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$27K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
4% / 6%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717403
This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 47%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 40%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 5%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~2%.
price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: -22.5pp
29% → 7%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
32% YES — highest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
5% YES (-5.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this