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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

37%YES
63%NO

Volume 24h

$34K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

38% / 39%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

37%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?" at 37% YES / 63% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 37%, NO 63%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717407

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 40%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 37%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 9%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~8%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+8.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +9.5pp

37% → 46%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

50% YES (+3.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 37%99%
Buy YES@ 37¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 63¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this