Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
8% / 9%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717411
This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 50%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 39%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 8%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
18% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Trough probability
3% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +8.0pp
7% → 15%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
7% YES (+3.4pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this